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Updated 5 days ago

Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
11 %
chance
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?
3 outcomes- December 31, 202928 %
- December 31, 202820 %
- December 31, 202711 %
Total volume
$212.9K
24h vol.
$6.1K
1w vol.
$6.7K
1m vol.
$212.9K
Liquidity
$59.5K
Bid / Ask
10¢ / 11¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
10¢
Start date
Sep 17, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 8 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 8 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 50 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 4 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 4 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 1 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 1 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 25 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 25 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 89¢ | 34 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 11¢ | 34 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 3 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 3 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 89¢ | 21 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 11¢ | 21 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 89¢ | 5,921 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 11¢ | 4,165 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 11¢ | 263 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 1,000 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 11¢ | 235 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 11¢ | 259 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 3 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 3 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 400 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 400 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 3 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 3 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 36 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 36 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 4 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 4 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 4 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 4 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 2,901 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 1,379 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 500 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 23 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 27 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 23 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 750 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 0 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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