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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
20 %
chance
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?
3 outcomes- December 31, 202928 %
- December 31, 202820 %
- December 31, 202711 %
Total volume
$27.9K
24h vol.
$1.3K
1w vol.
$1.4K
1m vol.
$27.9K
Liquidity
$341.9K
Bid / Ask
19¢ / 20¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
20¢
Start date
Sep 17, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2029
ends in 2 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 216 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 216 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 216 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 216 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 3,870 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 150 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 1,239 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 300 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 381 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 600 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 400 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 97 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 303 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 2,673 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 668 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 2,005 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 1,722 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 300 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 600 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 22 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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