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Updated 2 min. ago
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
14 %
chance
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
4 outcomes- December 31, 202827 %
- December 31, 202714 %
- June 30, 202710 %
- December 31, 20261 %
Total volume
$4.8M
24h vol.
$26K
1w vol.
$2.5M
1m vol.
$4.8M
Liquidity
$385.9K
Bid / Ask
13¢ / 14¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
14¢
Start date
Sep 29, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
The AI's estimate
The AI and the market agreesonar · analysed 5 days ago
From the daily AI research
The market is about a statewide enactment, not the numerous local Indiana moratoria that have recently passed. The strongest current evidence is that the 2026 legislative session ended without statewide action, while the next major opportunity is the 2027 General Assembly; recent developments through October 14 add local pressure but no qualifying statewide measure. Starting from the 16.5% market price, I move the estimate down 2 percentage points because the 2026 opportunity has passed without enactment and no current statewide bill or official enactment is identified; the historical 15%-35% calibration, with 21.8% YES outcomes versus a 23.2% average price, is directionally consistent with a modestly lower estimate. Confidence is medium because the deadline leaves a full legislative session and late enactment can qualify, but the resolution source is not exclusive and the statewide-versus-local distinction is decisive.
Two of the key facts
- Indiana lawmakers declined to enact a statewide data center moratorium during the 2026 legislative session; the 2027 General Assembly is identified as the next major opportunity. [8]
- Indianapolis adopted a local moratorium through December 31, 2027, with the City-County Council approving it in August and the Metropolitan Development Commission giving final approval on August 19; it does not apply statewide. [1][5][6]
Resolution risk: medium — read the rules before relying on the title.
Bull and bear case, the remaining facts and the full resolution analysis come with a plan.
Sources, key facts and what would change the call.
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Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 663 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 263 |
| 51 min. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 200 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 200 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 4,600 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 162 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 1,515 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 889 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 100 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 372 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 184 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 150 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 1,228 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 1,515 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 1,477 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 38 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 5,799 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 5,799 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 1,031 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 1,031 |
| 20 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 12,299 |
| 20 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 12,299 |
| 23 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 49 |
| 23 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 49 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 87¢ | 0 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 13¢ | 0 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 12¢ | 68 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 88¢ | 68 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 87¢ | 0 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 13¢ | 0 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 88¢ | 8 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 88¢ | 8 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 87¢ | 0 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 13¢ | 0 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 88¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 88¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 87¢ | 3,866 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 13¢ | 3,866 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 12¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 88¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 87¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 13¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 12¢ | 21 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 88¢ | 21 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 88¢ | 2 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 88¢ | 2 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 87¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 13¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 88¢ | 8 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 88¢ | 8 |
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