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Updated 26 min. ago

Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?
10 %
chance
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
19 outcomesTotal volume
$453.3K
24h vol.
$16.3K
1w vol.
$130.2K
1m vol.
$453.3K
Liquidity
$92.4K
Bid / Ask
9¢ / 10¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
10¢
Start date
Oct 1, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 600 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 600 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 85 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 85 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 12 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 12 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 31 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 31 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 16 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 16 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 23 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 23 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 2 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 2 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 11 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 11 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 17 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 17 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 25 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 20 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 5 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 1,005 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 1,000 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 5 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 639 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 639 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 11 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 11 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 11 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 11 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 18 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 18 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 222 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 222 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 568 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 568 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 23 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 23 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 45 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 45 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 50 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 50 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 892 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 892 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 9 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 9 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 50 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 50 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 50 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 50 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
◆ Underlying asset
How far is the move, really?
Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.
Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature
See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.