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Updated 11 min. ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?

Crypto
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19 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▼ −7.0%24h▼ −5.0%1W
Yes 19¢No 82¢

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

19 outcomes

Total volume

$385.1K

24h vol.

$30.6K

1w vol.

$174K

1m vol.

$385.1K

Liquidity

$81.5K

Bid / Ask

18¢ / 19¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

19¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 220 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
19¢$390
18¢$1,875
17¢$14,140
16¢$3,148
15¢$3,055
14¢$189
13¢$258
12¢$100
11¢$55
9¢$9,013
Asks (sell)Size
20¢$4,402
21¢$23,214
22¢$16,980
23¢$868
24¢$3,248
27¢$3,520
33¢$5,000
35¢$377
39¢$31
40¢$600

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 62%Sells 38%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
15 min. agoSell19¢6
15 min. agoSell81¢6
58 min. agoBuy18¢28
58 min. agoBuy82¢28
1 hr. agoBuy83¢66
1 hr. agoBuy17¢66
2 hr. agoBuy81¢2
2 hr. agoSell81¢2
3 hr. agoSell19¢42
3 hr. agoBuy19¢42
3 hr. agoSell19¢614
3 hr. agoSell81¢577
3 hr. agoSell81¢37
3 hr. agoBuy19¢1
3 hr. agoBuy81¢1
3 hr. agoBuy19¢75
3 hr. agoBuy81¢75
3 hr. agoBuy82¢62
3 hr. agoSell82¢62
4 hr. agoSell18¢8
4 hr. agoBuy18¢8
4 hr. agoSell83¢1,149
4 hr. agoBuy83¢1,000
4 hr. agoBuy83¢149
4 hr. agoBuy17¢6
4 hr. agoBuy83¢6
4 hr. agoBuy84¢1,208
4 hr. agoBuy16¢598
4 hr. agoBuy16¢16
4 hr. agoBuy16¢102
4 hr. agoBuy16¢100
4 hr. agoBuy16¢100
4 hr. agoBuy16¢108
4 hr. agoBuy16¢75
4 hr. agoBuy16¢109
4 hr. agoSell84¢8
4 hr. agoSell16¢8
5 hr. agoBuy16¢6
5 hr. agoBuy84¢6
6 hr. agoBuy84¢48
6 hr. agoBuy16¢20
6 hr. agoBuy16¢28
6 hr. agoSell16¢5
6 hr. agoBuy16¢5
6 hr. agoSell84¢8
6 hr. agoBuy84¢8
6 hr. agoSell16¢0
6 hr. agoBuy16¢0
6 hr. agoSell16¢0
6 hr. agoBuy16¢0

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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All Bitcoin data on one pagePrice history, how the coin behaves, and every other open market that names a price level.

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