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Updated 3 days ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?

Crypto
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7 %

chance

▼ −1.5%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 7¢No 94¢

Total volume

$241.7K

24h vol.

$6.5K

1w vol.

$66.2K

1m vol.

$241.7K

Liquidity

$64K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 7¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

7¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$13,053
5¢$3,057
4¢$12,589
3¢$16,284
2¢$1,714
1¢$4,724
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$402
9¢$13,358
10¢$5,104
11¢$15,075
12¢$110
13¢$200
14¢$10
16¢$60
18¢$500
19¢$10

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 97%Sells 3%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 days agoSell7¢13
3 days agoSell93¢8
3 days agoBuy7¢5
3 days agoBuy8¢188
3 days agoBuy92¢158
3 days agoBuy92¢10
3 days agoBuy92¢20
3 days agoBuy7¢40
3 days agoBuy93¢13
3 days agoBuy93¢27
3 days agoSell92¢16
3 days agoBuy92¢16
3 days agoBuy7¢68
3 days agoSell7¢67
3 days agoBuy93¢1
3 days agoBuy7¢300
3 days agoBuy93¢292
3 days agoSell7¢7
3 days agoBuy93¢1
3 days agoBuy7¢1,078
3 days agoBuy93¢99
3 days agoBuy93¢104
3 days agoBuy93¢105
3 days agoBuy93¢106
3 days agoBuy93¢30
3 days agoBuy93¢104
3 days agoBuy93¢107
3 days agoBuy93¢107
3 days agoBuy93¢104
3 days agoBuy93¢102
3 days agoBuy93¢109
3 days agoBuy93¢1
3 days agoBuy7¢608
3 days agoBuy93¢5
3 days agoSell7¢40
3 days agoBuy93¢400
3 days agoBuy93¢163
3 days agoSell93¢18
3 days agoBuy93¢18
3 days agoSell93¢10
3 days agoBuy93¢10
3 days agoBuy94¢3
3 days agoBuy6¢3
3 days agoBuy94¢8
3 days agoBuy6¢8
3 days agoBuy94¢256
3 days agoBuy6¢93
3 days agoBuy6¢107
3 days agoBuy6¢56
3 days agoBuy94¢22

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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All Bitcoin data on one pagePrice history, how the coin behaves, and every other open market that names a price level.

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