Skip to content

← Dashboard · Tech

Updated 5 min. ago

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Tech
Log in for watchlist

85 %

chance

▲ +0.4%1h▲ +6.0%24h▼ −9.0%1W
Yes 85¢No 15¢

Largest Company end of October 2026?

9 outcomes
See all 9 outcomes

Total volume

$172.6K

24h vol.

$13.3K

1w vol.

$105.4K

1m vol.

$172.6K

Liquidity

$37.9K

Bid / Ask

84¢ / 86¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

86¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
84¢$43
84¢$50
83¢$50
83¢$100
82¢$113
82¢$50
81¢$238
81¢$50
81¢$100
81¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
86¢$2,018
86¢$600
86¢$2,263
86¢$350
86¢$1,257
86¢$1,757
87¢$140
87¢$400
87¢$3,216
87¢$571

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 85%Sells 15%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
9 min. agoBuy86¢8
9 min. agoBuy14¢8
15 min. agoBuy86¢14
15 min. agoBuy14¢14
16 min. agoBuy86¢33
16 min. agoSell86¢28
16 min. agoBuy14¢5
19 min. agoSell84¢5
19 min. agoSell16¢5
25 min. agoBuy86¢23
25 min. agoBuy14¢23
37 min. agoBuy86¢15
37 min. agoBuy14¢15
40 min. agoBuy86¢1
40 min. agoSell86¢1
43 min. agoBuy86¢17
43 min. agoBuy14¢17
57 min. agoBuy86¢6
57 min. agoSell86¢6
1 hr. agoBuy86¢13
1 hr. agoBuy14¢13
1 hr. agoBuy86¢22
1 hr. agoSell86¢12
1 hr. agoBuy14¢10
1 hr. agoBuy86¢20
1 hr. agoBuy14¢20
1 hr. agoBuy14¢32
1 hr. agoBuy86¢32
1 hr. agoBuy14¢168
1 hr. agoBuy86¢168
1 hr. agoBuy14¢142
1 hr. agoSell14¢109
1 hr. agoSell14¢28
1 hr. agoSell14¢5
2 hr. agoBuy89¢32
2 hr. agoBuy11¢32
2 hr. agoBuy89¢19
2 hr. agoBuy11¢19
2 hr. agoBuy89¢60
2 hr. agoBuy11¢49
2 hr. agoBuy11¢11
2 hr. agoBuy89¢21
2 hr. agoBuy11¢21
3 hr. agoBuy89¢2
3 hr. agoBuy11¢2
3 hr. agoBuy89¢20
3 hr. agoBuy11¢6
3 hr. agoBuy11¢5
3 hr. agoSell89¢9
3 hr. agoBuy89¢17

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.