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Updated 28 min. ago

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

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69 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▲ +1.0%24h▼ −7.0%1W
Yes 69¢No 31¢

Largest Company end of December 2026?

8 outcomes
See all 8 outcomes

Total volume

$1.4M

24h vol.

$3.3K

1w vol.

$33.2K

1m vol.

$179.7K

Liquidity

$70.1K

Bid / Ask

67¢ / 70¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

66¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
66¢$1,174
65¢$137
64¢$2,116
63¢$309
62¢$1,200
61¢$105
60¢$50
59¢$100
57¢$50
56¢$50
Asks (sell)Size
68¢$10
69¢$3,026
70¢$100
71¢$1,309
72¢$2,882
73¢$1,390
74¢$2,760
75¢$2,191
76¢$1,165
77¢$1,181

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 44%Sells 56%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoSell31¢92
2 hr. agoSell69¢82
2 hr. agoSell69¢10
3 hr. agoSell32¢67
3 hr. agoSell68¢20
3 hr. agoBuy32¢47
4 hr. agoSell66¢5
4 hr. agoBuy66¢5
4 hr. agoBuy68¢1
4 hr. agoSell68¢1
5 hr. agoSell32¢3
5 hr. agoSell68¢3
5 hr. agoSell66¢47
5 hr. agoBuy66¢47
7 hr. agoSell31¢14
7 hr. agoSell69¢9
7 hr. agoBuy32¢5
7 hr. agoSell32¢74
7 hr. agoBuy32¢74
7 hr. agoSell32¢55
7 hr. agoBuy32¢25
7 hr. agoBuy32¢5
7 hr. agoSell68¢20
7 hr. agoBuy32¢5
7 hr. agoBuy68¢42
7 hr. agoBuy32¢21
7 hr. agoSell68¢20
8 hr. agoBuy35¢40
8 hr. agoBuy65¢23
8 hr. agoBuy65¢10
8 hr. agoBuy65¢7
8 hr. agoBuy34¢102
8 hr. agoBuy66¢54
8 hr. agoBuy66¢43
8 hr. agoBuy66¢5
8 hr. agoSell67¢1,803
8 hr. agoBuy67¢99
8 hr. agoBuy67¢100
8 hr. agoBuy67¢20
8 hr. agoBuy67¢20
8 hr. agoBuy67¢67
8 hr. agoBuy67¢15
8 hr. agoSell33¢10
8 hr. agoSell33¢20
8 hr. agoBuy67¢1,111
8 hr. agoBuy67¢22
8 hr. agoSell33¢319
8 hr. agoBuy35¢43
8 hr. agoBuy65¢43
9 hr. agoBuy69¢20

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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