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Updated 5 min. ago

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

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15 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▼ −6.6%24h▲ +10.0%1W
Yes 15¢No 85¢

Largest Company end of October 2026?

9 outcomes
See all 9 outcomes

Total volume

$135.6K

24h vol.

$36.4K

1w vol.

$99.6K

1m vol.

$135.6K

Liquidity

$45.5K

Bid / Ask

14¢ / 15¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

13¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
14¢$3,110
14¢$300
14¢$320
13¢$344
13¢$698
12¢$351
12¢$299
12¢$36
12¢$305
12¢$706
Asks (sell)Size
15¢$47
16¢$22
16¢$808
16¢$20
17¢$93
17¢$262
17¢$103
18¢$349
18¢$300
18¢$193

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 81%Sells 19%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
43 min. agoBuy86¢1
43 min. agoBuy14¢1
1 hr. agoSell13¢9
1 hr. agoSell87¢1
1 hr. agoBuy13¢8
1 hr. agoSell13¢29
1 hr. agoSell87¢2
1 hr. agoBuy13¢27
1 hr. agoBuy16¢609
1 hr. agoBuy84¢409
1 hr. agoBuy85¢32
1 hr. agoBuy86¢12
1 hr. agoBuy86¢12
1 hr. agoBuy86¢12
1 hr. agoBuy86¢10
1 hr. agoBuy86¢12
1 hr. agoBuy86¢22
1 hr. agoBuy86¢22
1 hr. agoBuy86¢22
1 hr. agoBuy86¢21
1 hr. agoBuy86¢22
1 hr. agoBuy13¢1,918
1 hr. agoBuy87¢206
1 hr. agoBuy87¢600
1 hr. agoBuy87¢140
1 hr. agoBuy87¢176
1 hr. agoSell13¢360
1 hr. agoSell13¢29
1 hr. agoSell13¢179
1 hr. agoSell11¢100
1 hr. agoBuy89¢29
1 hr. agoSell11¢7
1 hr. agoSell11¢91
2 hr. agoBuy11¢9
2 hr. agoSell11¢9
3 hr. agoSell10¢30
3 hr. agoBuy10¢30
3 hr. agoSell10¢200
3 hr. agoBuy10¢200
3 hr. agoSell11¢15
3 hr. agoSell89¢15
3 hr. agoBuy90¢1
3 hr. agoBuy10¢1
4 hr. agoSell11¢9
4 hr. agoBuy11¢9
4 hr. agoSell11¢9
4 hr. agoBuy11¢9
5 hr. agoSell11¢9
5 hr. agoBuy11¢9
5 hr. agoSell88¢0

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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