← Dashboard · Culture
Updated 2 wk. ago
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
43 %
chance
#2 Spotify Artist in October?
14 outcomesTotal volume
$11K
24h vol.
$474.22
1w vol.
$4.3K
1m vol.
$11K
Liquidity
$879.329
Bid / Ask
41¢ / 45¢
Spread 4¢
Last trade
44¢
Start date
Oct 2, 2026
End date
Oct 31, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 48¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
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Recent trades (8)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 2 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 2 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 14 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 14 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.