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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

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57 %

chance

▼ −21.5%24h▲ +31.5%1W
Yes 57¢No 43¢

#2 Spotify Artist in October?

14 outcomes
See all 14 outcomes

Total volume

$19.1K

24h vol.

$3.5K

1w vol.

$13.5K

1m vol.

$19.1K

Liquidity

$1K

Bid / Ask

56¢ / 58¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

57¢

Start date

Oct 2, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
25¢$145
24¢$20
10¢$21
2¢$6
1¢$60
Asks (sell)Size
29¢$145
30¢$20
68¢$10
69¢$15
88¢$30
89¢$9
93¢$72
96¢$14
97¢$188
98¢$381

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (10)

Buys 67%Sells 33%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoBuy71¢2
2 wk. agoSell71¢2
2 wk. agoBuy71¢14
2 wk. agoSell71¢14
2 wk. agoBuy71¢5
2 wk. agoSell71¢5
2 wk. agoSell71¢20
2 wk. agoBuy71¢20
2 wk. agoBuy26¢20
2 wk. agoBuy74¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.