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Updated 8 hr. ago

Plague pandemic in 2026?

Plague pandemic in 2026?

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2 %

chance

▼ −0.3%24h▼ −0.2%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Total volume

$493.6K

24h vol.

$78.5K

1w vol.

$101.3K

1m vol.

$493.6K

Liquidity

$106.3K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Oct 5, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$759
2¢$406
2¢$749
1¢$3,313
1¢$35,432
1¢$5,000
1¢$5,714
1¢$5,833
1¢$6,000
0¢$5,000
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$713
2¢$196
2¢$596
3¢$435
3¢$20
3¢$50
3¢$97
3¢$286
3¢$200
4¢$811

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 3%Sells 97%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
13 hr. agoBuy2¢53
13 hr. agoSell2¢53
16 hr. agoSell2¢500
16 hr. agoSell98¢500
19 hr. agoSell98¢100
19 hr. agoSell2¢22
19 hr. agoSell2¢78
1 day agoSell98¢251
1 day agoBuy98¢26
1 day agoBuy98¢203
1 day agoSell2¢22
1 day agoBuy2¢78
1 day agoSell2¢78
1 day agoSell98¢312
1 day agoBuy98¢203
1 day agoSell2¢109
1 day agoSell98¢203
1 day agoBuy98¢203
1 day agoSell98¢203
1 day agoBuy98¢203
1 day agoSell98¢203
1 day agoBuy98¢203
1 day agoSell2¢115
1 day agoBuy2¢5
1 day agoSell98¢110
1 day agoSell2¢120
1 day agoSell98¢68
1 day agoSell98¢26
1 day agoSell98¢26
1 day agoSell98¢17,270
1 day agoSell2¢17,012
1 day agoBuy98¢204
1 day agoSell2¢54
1 day agoSell98¢26
1 day agoSell2¢26
1 day agoSell98¢26
1 day agoBuy98¢26
1 day agoSell100¢1,000
1 day agoSell0¢1,000
1 day agoSell100¢26
1 day agoSell1¢5
1 day agoSell1¢5
1 day agoSell1¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoBuy1¢20
1 day agoSell1¢20
1 day agoSell2¢32,069
1 day agoBuy0¢200
1 day agoBuy0¢800

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A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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