Skip to content

← Dashboard · Tech

Updated 11 min. ago

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Tech
Log in for watchlist

10 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 10¢No 91¢

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$1.7M

24h vol.

$133.1K

1w vol.

$192K

1m vol.

$1.6M

Liquidity

$638.3K

Bid / Ask

9¢ / 10¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

10¢

Start date

Sep 17, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,181 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
9¢$51,128
8¢$339,754
7¢$263,623
6¢$22,930
5¢$8,043
4¢$1,205
3¢$3,401
2¢$5,868
1¢$12,786
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$90,182
11¢$19,968
12¢$14,466
13¢$31,991
14¢$20
15¢$550
16¢$13
17¢$8
18¢$5
20¢$10,005

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 99%Sells 1%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoBuy91¢11
1 hr. agoBuy9¢11
3 hr. agoBuy91¢110
3 hr. agoBuy9¢110
3 hr. agoBuy91¢8
3 hr. agoBuy9¢8
5 hr. agoBuy10¢10
5 hr. agoBuy90¢10
7 hr. agoBuy91¢54,944
7 hr. agoBuy9¢54,944
7 hr. agoBuy91¢50,000
7 hr. agoBuy9¢50,000
7 hr. agoBuy91¢20,000
7 hr. agoBuy9¢20,000
7 hr. agoBuy91¢5,000
7 hr. agoBuy9¢5,000
7 hr. agoBuy91¢5
7 hr. agoBuy9¢5
8 hr. agoSell90¢2,658
8 hr. agoBuy90¢2,658
10 hr. agoBuy91¢92
10 hr. agoBuy9¢92
11 hr. agoBuy10¢10
11 hr. agoBuy90¢10
12 hr. agoSell9¢10
12 hr. agoBuy9¢10
12 hr. agoBuy10¢10
12 hr. agoBuy90¢10
23 hr. agoBuy91¢277
23 hr. agoBuy9¢277
1 day agoBuy91¢494
1 day agoBuy9¢494
1 day agoBuy91¢198
1 day agoBuy9¢198
1 day agoBuy91¢549
1 day agoBuy9¢549
1 day agoBuy91¢8
1 day agoBuy9¢8
2 days agoBuy91¢10
2 days agoBuy9¢10
2 days agoBuy10¢208
2 days agoBuy90¢208
2 days agoBuy10¢200
2 days agoBuy90¢200
3 days agoBuy10¢110
3 days agoBuy90¢110
3 days agoSell9¢10
3 days agoBuy9¢10
3 days agoBuy10¢110
3 days agoBuy90¢110

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.