← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 4 days ago
Will Rodri finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2 %
chance
Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026
30 outcomes- Harry Kane94 %
- Kylian Mbappé55 %
- Michael Olise47 %
- Lamine Yamal43 %
- Dayot Upamecano30 %
- Ferran Torres8 %
- Lionel Messi5 %
- Julián Quiñones4 %
- Fabian Ruiz4 %
- Marquinhos3 %
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia3 %
- Ousmane Dembélé2 %
- Rodri2 %
- João Neves2 %
- Pau Cubarsi1 %
- Marc Cucurella1 %
- Vinícius Júnior1 %
- William Saliba1 %
- Luis Diaz1 %
- Sadio Mané1 %
- Achraf Hakimi1 %
- Gabriel Magalhães1 %
- Declan Rice1 %
- Vitinha1 %
- Erling Haaland1 %
- Nuno Mendes1 %
- Bruno Fernandes0 %
- Jude Bellingham0 %
- Lautaro Martinez0 %
- Willian Pacho0 %
Total volume
$985.75
24h vol.
$985.75
1w vol.
$985.75
1m vol.
$985.75
Liquidity
$116.032
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 3¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Oct 14, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 90¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades
No trades were found for this market.
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.