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Updated 4 days ago

Will Michael Olise finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Other

47 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▼ −0.5%24h

Yes 47¢No 53¢

Total volume

$924.384

Liquidity

$924.384

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 92¢

Spread 90¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 92¢

Bids (buy)Size

2¢$30

1¢$78

Asks (sell)Size

94¢$56

95¢$13,425

99¢$52

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