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Updated 4 days ago

Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?

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57 %

chance

▼ −6.5%1h▲ +2.0%24h
Yes 57¢No 43¢

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations

14 outcomes

Total volume

$2K

24h vol.

$573.79

1w vol.

$2K

1m vol.

$2K

Liquidity

$340.002

Bid / Ask

45¢ / 70¢

Spread 25¢

Last trade

57¢

Start date

Oct 15, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 7¢
Bids (buy)Size
49¢$60
48¢$20
47¢$20
36¢$483
10¢$21
3¢$9
2¢$18
1¢$52
Asks (sell)Size
56¢$60
57¢$20
59¢$20
63¢$20
95¢$20
96¢$15
98¢$18
99¢$19

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (42)

Buys 94%Sells 6%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoBuy50¢20
4 days agoBuy50¢20
4 days agoBuy48¢20
4 days agoBuy52¢20
4 days agoBuy39¢160
4 days agoBuy43¢20
4 days agoSell55¢40
4 days agoBuy64¢40
4 days agoBuy77¢20
4 days agoBuy77¢20
4 days agoSell23¢20
4 days agoBuy39¢483
4 days agoBuy60¢20
4 days agoBuy60¢20
4 days agoBuy60¢20
4 days agoSell40¢20
4 days agoBuy61¢20
4 days agoBuy61¢20
4 days agoBuy61¢40
4 days agoBuy61¢20
4 days agoBuy61¢20
4 days agoBuy61¢100
4 days agoBuy61¢23
4 days agoBuy61¢20
4 days agoBuy61¢20
4 days agoBuy61¢100
4 days agoSell39¢20
4 days agoBuy55¢10
4 days agoBuy45¢10
4 days agoBuy54¢10
4 days agoBuy46¢10
4 days agoBuy54¢20
4 days agoBuy46¢10
4 days agoBuy46¢10
4 days agoBuy54¢20
4 days agoBuy46¢10
4 days agoBuy46¢10
4 days agoBuy54¢70
4 days agoBuy46¢10
4 days agoBuy46¢20
4 days agoBuy46¢20
4 days agoBuy46¢20

◆ Smart money

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