Skip to content

← Dashboard · Culture

Updated 4 days ago

Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?

Other
Log in for watchlist

74 %

chance

▲ +27.0%1h▲ +33.5%24h
Yes 74¢No 26¢

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations

14 outcomes

Total volume

$305.41

24h vol.

$173.61

1w vol.

$305.41

1m vol.

$305.41

Liquidity

$92.518

Bid / Ask

58¢ / 90¢

Spread 32¢

Last trade

42¢

Start date

Oct 15, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
33¢$81
31¢$40
3¢$19
2¢$33
1¢$22
Asks (sell)Size
38¢$102
42¢$10
95¢$9
96¢$11
98¢$5
99¢$34

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (17)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoBuy53¢22
4 days agoBuy47¢22
4 days agoBuy52¢40
4 days agoBuy48¢20
4 days agoBuy48¢20
4 days agoBuy52¢10
4 days agoBuy48¢10
4 days agoBuy52¢10
4 days agoBuy48¢10
4 days agoBuy52¢10
4 days agoBuy48¢10
4 days agoBuy52¢10
4 days agoBuy48¢10
4 days agoBuy52¢10
4 days agoBuy48¢10
4 days agoBuy50¢20
4 days agoBuy50¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.