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Updated 4 days ago
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
84 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations
13 outcomesTotal volume
$20
24h vol.
$20
1w vol.
$20
1m vol.
$20
Liquidity
$189.267
Bid / Ask
79¢ / 89¢
Spread 10¢
Last trade
67¢
Start date
Oct 15, 2026
End date
Mar 15, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
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Recent trades (2)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Buy | 67¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 33¢ | 20 |
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