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Updated 4 days ago

Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?

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45 %

chance

▲ +6.0%1h▲ +4.0%24h
Yes 45¢No 55¢

Total volume

$1.5K

24h vol.

$247.327

1w vol.

$1.5K

1m vol.

$1.5K

Liquidity

$431.378

Bid / Ask

31¢ / 59¢

Spread 28¢

Last trade

37¢

Start date

Oct 15, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
14¢$120
13¢$236
12¢$295
10¢$21
3¢$22
2¢$47
1¢$23
Asks (sell)Size
17¢$76
18¢$205
19¢$40
20¢$20
21¢$20
26¢$15
95¢$7
96¢$9
98¢$7
99¢$39

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (32)

Buys 63%Sells 37%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoSell23¢56
4 days agoBuy23¢16
4 days agoBuy23¢20
4 days agoBuy23¢20
4 days agoBuy76¢20
4 days agoBuy24¢15
4 days agoBuy25¢5
4 days agoSell22¢180
4 days agoBuy17¢20
4 days agoSell82¢20
4 days agoSell80¢20
4 days agoSell80¢40
4 days agoSell76¢20
4 days agoBuy26¢20
4 days agoBuy27¢20
4 days agoSell73¢20
4 days agoSell24¢40
4 days agoSell76¢20
4 days agoBuy24¢20
4 days agoBuy14¢271
4 days agoBuy85¢20
4 days agoBuy85¢20
4 days agoBuy85¢20
4 days agoBuy85¢21
4 days agoBuy86¢20
4 days agoBuy86¢20
4 days agoBuy87¢20
4 days agoBuy87¢20
4 days agoBuy87¢20
4 days agoBuy87¢50
4 days agoBuy87¢20
4 days agoBuy87¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.