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Updated 8 hr. ago
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
33 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 13.9 pp over the past week (+5.1 pp in the last 24 hours), after dipping to 17% on Oct 27, 2026.
- Historically, 31% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (3,490 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 8 mo. (Jul 1, 2027).
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✦ AI assessment
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NBA: 2026-27 MVP
34 outcomes- Victor Wembanyama35 %
- Luka Doncic33 %
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander12 %
- Nikola Jokic8 %
- Tyrese Maxey5 %
- Jayson Tatum4 %
- Cooper Flagg2 %
- Cade Cunningham2 %
- Giannis Antetokounmpo2 %
- Alperen Sengun1 %
- Anthony Edwards1 %
- Jaylen Brown1 %
- Jalen Brunson1 %
- Deni Avdija1 %
- Donovan Mitchell1 %
- Karl-Anthony Towns1 %
- Stephen Curry0 %
- Devin Booker0 %
- Scottie Barnes0 %
- Jalen Johnson0 %
- Ty Jerome0 %
- Paolo Banchero0 %
- Jamal Murray0 %
- Zion Williamson0 %
- LaMelo Ball0 %
- LeBron James0 %
- Evan Mobley0 %
- Tyrese Haliburton0 %
- Kawhi Leonard0 %
- Joel Embiid0 %
- Anthony Davis0 %
- Bam Adebayo0 %
- Kevin Durant0 %
- Austin Reaves0 %
Total volume
$19.3K
24h vol.
$5K
1w vol.
$12.4K
1m vol.
$19.3K
Liquidity
$11.3K
Bid / Ask
31¢ / 35¢
Spread 4¢
Last trade
35¢
Start date
Oct 15, 2026
End date
Jul 1, 2027
ends in 8 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,490 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.7% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 26.0% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades
Failed to load trades: Upstream request failed (410) for https://data-api.polymarket.com/trades?market=0xc48c7ab383b98194d5d38246c7a966f95843d3bb05e4a7a51c031ea60df67073&limit=50&takerOnly=true
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