Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Market brief

• Down 6.5 pp over the past week, after touching 49% on Oct 15, 2026.
• Historically, 14% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (908 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 8 mo. (Jul 1, 2027).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 908 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 3.8 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
• Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Related markets

The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.

• Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B100 %▲ +0.0%
• Villarreal vs PSG — PSG56 %▼ −5.0%
• Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B0 %▲ +0.0%
• Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov0 %▼ −38.5%
• Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp100 %▲ +39.5%
• Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B100 %▲ +0.0%

Keep exploring