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Updated 1 day ago

Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
82 %
chance
Next Press Secretary announced by...?
3 outcomes- December 3182 %
- November 3053 %
- October 3117 %
Total volume
$80.1K
24h vol.
$17.5K
1w vol.
$80.1K
1m vol.
$80.1K
Liquidity
$223.9K
Bid / Ask
81¢ / 82¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
82¢
Start date
Oct 16, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 12 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 12 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 20¢ | 5,000 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 80¢ | 1,808 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 80¢ | 150 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 80¢ | 2,000 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 80¢ | 400 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 20¢ | 642 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 80¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 20¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 19¢ | 310 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 94 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 81¢ | 216 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 25 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 81¢ | 25 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 80¢ | 86 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 20¢ | 86 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 25 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 25 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 86 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 86 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 19¢ | 225 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 27 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 81¢ | 157 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 41 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 13 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 13 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 12 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 12 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 19¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 20¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 20¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 19¢ | 9,112 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 700 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 900 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 81¢ | 150 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 81¢ | 184 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 21 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 36 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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