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Updated 25 min. ago

Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe

Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe

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Watch this market

100 %

chance

▲ +45.5%1h▲ +51.4%24h
Yes 100¢No 0¢

Market brief

  • Up 51.4 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 36% on Oct 25, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 26 buys, 24 sells; the largest was $2.04K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 96% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before the end resolved YES (184 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 3, 2026).

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Total volume

$589K

24h vol.

$603.8K

1w vol.

$617.8K

1m vol.

$617.8K

Liquidity

$228.1K

Bid / Ask

100¢ / 100¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

99¢

Start date

Oct 25, 2026

End date

Nov 3, 2026

ends in 6 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 184 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 96.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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  • Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
73¢$249
72¢$16,837
71¢$27,542
70¢$16,313
69¢$3,194
68¢$4,800
67¢$4,713
66¢$1,725
65¢$1,958
64¢$2,652
Asks (sell)Size
74¢$30,534
75¢$27,159
76¢$21,545
77¢$18,017
78¢$2,431
79¢$1,900
80¢$2,813
81¢$1,045
82¢$597
83¢$1,429

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 48%Sells 52%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
29 min. agoBuy73¢5
29 min. agoBuy73¢27
29 min. agoSell73¢12
30 min. agoBuy74¢13
30 min. agoSell74¢170
30 min. agoBuy75¢5
30 min. agoBuy75¢24
30 min. agoSell75¢1,756
30 min. agoSell75¢19
31 min. agoSell75¢19
31 min. agoSell75¢155
31 min. agoBuy75¢43
32 min. agoBuy75¢182
32 min. agoBuy74¢10
32 min. agoSell73¢370
32 min. agoSell73¢370
32 min. agoSell73¢370
32 min. agoBuy73¢30
32 min. agoBuy73¢7
32 min. agoBuy73¢12
32 min. agoSell71¢2,862
33 min. agoSell72¢100
33 min. agoSell72¢59
33 min. agoSell72¢35
33 min. agoBuy73¢7
34 min. agoSell72¢36
34 min. agoBuy73¢2,800
34 min. agoSell72¢36
35 min. agoSell73¢321
35 min. agoSell73¢30
35 min. agoSell76¢833
36 min. agoBuy77¢8
36 min. agoBuy77¢8
36 min. agoBuy77¢30
36 min. agoBuy77¢30
36 min. agoBuy76¢47
36 min. agoSell74¢38
36 min. agoSell74¢8
36 min. agoBuy76¢26
37 min. agoBuy78¢13
37 min. agoBuy78¢2
37 min. agoBuy78¢24
37 min. agoBuy76¢2,395
37 min. agoSell76¢52
37 min. agoBuy76¢88
37 min. agoSell75¢10
37 min. agoBuy76¢1,462
37 min. agoSell76¢215
37 min. agoSell78¢5
37 min. agoBuy80¢31

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