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Updated 25 min. ago

Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe
100 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 51.4 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 36% on Oct 25, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 26 buys, 24 sells; the largest was $2.04K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 96% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before the end resolved YES (184 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 3, 2026).
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Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe
4 outcomes- Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 23.5100 %
- Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 Winner100 %
- Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe100 %
- Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 22.550 %
Total volume
$589K
24h vol.
$603.8K
1w vol.
$617.8K
1m vol.
$617.8K
Liquidity
$228.1K
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
99¢
Start date
Oct 25, 2026
End date
Nov 3, 2026
ends in 6 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 184 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 96.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 5 |
| 29 min. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 27 |
| 29 min. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 12 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 13 |
| 30 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 170 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 5 |
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 24 |
| 30 min. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 1,756 |
| 30 min. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 19 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 19 |
| 31 min. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 155 |
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 43 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 182 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 10 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 370 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 370 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 370 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 30 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 7 |
| 32 min. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 12 |
| 32 min. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 2,862 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 100 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 59 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 35 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 7 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 36 |
| 34 min. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 2,800 |
| 34 min. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 36 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 321 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 30 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 833 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 8 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 8 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 30 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 30 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 47 |
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 38 |
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 8 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 26 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 13 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 2 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 24 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 2,395 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 52 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 88 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 10 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 1,462 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 215 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 5 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 31 |
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