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Updated 1 mo. ago
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
55 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 36.4 pp over the past week (+19.6 pp in the last 24 hours), after dipping to 1% on Sep 17, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 28 buys, 22 sells; the largest was $15 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 48% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (9,769 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 mo. (Nov 30, 2026).
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Total volume
$20.4K
24h vol.
$16.3K
1w vol.
$18.6K
1m vol.
$19.3K
Liquidity
$1.2K
Bid / Ask
46¢ / 64¢
Spread 18¢
Last trade
43¢
Start date
Sep 4, 2026
End date
Nov 30, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 9,769 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 8¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 63 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 45 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 18 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 45 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 27 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 13 |
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