Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?

Market brief

• Down 34.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 65% on Oct 26, 2026.
• Last 50 trades: 28 buys, 22 sells; the largest was $4.11K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 21% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (232 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 5 days (Nov 2, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 232 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 21.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
• Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

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