← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 44 min. ago
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?
63 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 23.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 18% on Oct 26, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 26 buys, 24 sells; the largest was $138 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 50% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (121 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 19 hr. (Oct 28, 2026).
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Elon Musk # tweets October 26 - October 28, 2026?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$20K
24h vol.
$12.7K
1w vol.
$20.1K
1m vol.
$20.1K
Liquidity
$6.3K
Bid / Ask
61¢ / 64¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
62¢
Start date
Oct 24, 2026
End date
Oct 28, 2026
ends in 19 hr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 121 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 35–65% one day before resolution, 49.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 47.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 min. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 50 |
| 55 min. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 42 |
| 55 min. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 5 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 13 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 7 |
| 56 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 20 |
| 57 min. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 20 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 5 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 20 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 25 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 20 |
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 14 |
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 87 |
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 273 |
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 80 |
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 75 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 14 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 12 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 22 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 19 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 51 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 49 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 30 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 202 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 25 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 69¢ | 25 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 106 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 14 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 25 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 55 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 225 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 44 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 43 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 47 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 47 |
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