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Updated 1 mo. ago

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
39 %
chance
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
11 outcomesTotal volume
$572K
24h vol.
$6.4K
1w vol.
$20.3K
1m vol.
$49.8K
Liquidity
$25.6K
Bid / Ask
38¢ / 40¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
38¢
Start date
Feb 18, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 183 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 50.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.7%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 36 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 36 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 151 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 121 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 300 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 300 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 405 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 70 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 56 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 1,264 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 100 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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