← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 3 hr. ago

Game Spread: Paula Badosa (-4.5) vs Harriet Dart (+4.5)
48 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 5.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 53% on Oct 29, 2026.
- Historically, 49% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (9,424 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 6, 2026).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart
6 outcomes- Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart Set 1 Winner65 %
- Completed Match54 %
- Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart Game Spread +/-4.548 %
- Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart Set Handicap +/-1.546 %
- Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart Total Sets: O/U 2.539 %
- Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart0 %
Total volume
$540.377
24h vol.
$577.288
1w vol.
$577.288
1m vol.
$577.288
Liquidity
$19.4K
Bid / Ask
47¢ / 48¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
48¢
Start date
Oct 28, 2026
End date
Nov 6, 2026
ends in 7 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 9,424 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 87¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (5)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 9 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 31 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 6 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 27 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 513 |
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym0 %▼ −74.5%
- South Carolina vs Oklahoma — South Carolina40 %▲ +4.0%
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils0 %▼ −33.5%
- Tennessee vs Cincinnati: Spread — Cincinnati wins by over 10.5 points55 %▲ +7.0%
- Auburn vs Ole Miss — Auburn21 %▲ +2.0%
- Kansas City vs Denver: Spread — Denver wins by over 7.5 points22 %▲ +2.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.