Skip to content

← Dashboard · Sports

Updated 30 min. ago

Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva

Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva

Other
Watch this market

56 %

chance

▼ −1.2%1h▲ +51.7%24h
Yes 56¢No 44¢

Market brief

  • Up 51.6 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 4% on Oct 29, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 32 buys, 18 sells; the largest was $1.6K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 49% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (9,400 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 5, 2026).

◆ Your call

What's your number?

Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.

50%
Saved in this browser only. No account needed.

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Total volume

$174.3K

24h vol.

$174.3K

1w vol.

$174.3K

1m vol.

$174.3K

Liquidity

$14.1K

Bid / Ask

55¢ / 56¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

56¢

Start date

Oct 28, 2026

End date

Nov 5, 2026

ends in 7 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 9,400 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Smart moneyPro+There is a current smart-money reading on this market: how the wallets whose record holds up are positioned.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
55¢$290
55¢$87
55¢$325
55¢$200
54¢$200
54¢$10
54¢$320
53¢$462
53¢$816
52¢$231
Asks (sell)Size
57¢$61
57¢$10
58¢$200
58¢$59
59¢$469
60¢$186
60¢$287
61¢$20
61¢$110
61¢$565

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 51%Sells 49%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
50 min. agoBuy57¢8
55 min. agoSell54¢28
55 min. agoBuy57¢17
58 min. agoBuy57¢3
1 hr. agoSell54¢2
1 hr. agoSell55¢2,886
1 hr. agoBuy57¢100
1 hr. agoBuy57¢400
1 hr. agoBuy57¢25
1 hr. agoSell56¢4
1 hr. agoBuy57¢2
1 hr. agoSell56¢5
1 hr. agoSell56¢41
2 hr. agoBuy57¢12
2 hr. agoBuy57¢28
2 hr. agoBuy57¢34
2 hr. agoBuy57¢176
2 hr. agoSell56¢3
2 hr. agoBuy57¢48
2 hr. agoBuy57¢45
2 hr. agoBuy57¢770
2 hr. agoBuy57¢176
3 hr. agoBuy57¢3
3 hr. agoBuy57¢7
3 hr. agoSell57¢683
3 hr. agoSell55¢16
4 hr. agoBuy55¢1,256
4 hr. agoBuy56¢272
4 hr. agoBuy57¢9
4 hr. agoBuy57¢25
4 hr. agoSell55¢1,256
4 hr. agoBuy56¢15
5 hr. agoSell56¢398
5 hr. agoBuy60¢217
5 hr. agoSell54¢217
5 hr. agoSell56¢40
5 hr. agoSell55¢1,289
5 hr. agoBuy62¢3,186
5 hr. agoBuy61¢17
5 hr. agoSell56¢23
5 hr. agoBuy59¢40
5 hr. agoSell58¢2
5 hr. agoBuy59¢104
5 hr. agoSell59¢5
5 hr. agoBuy59¢158
5 hr. agoBuy56¢153
5 hr. agoSell55¢95
5 hr. agoBuy56¢5
5 hr. agoBuy60¢10
5 hr. agoBuy60¢6

Related markets

The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.

Keep exploring

Moving today

Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.

Daily Forecast ChallengeThree real markets, one guess each — then see how you compare to the crowd and the AI.