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Updated 4 hr. ago
Set 2 Winner: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz
32 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 36 buys, 14 sells; the largest was $323 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 31% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (3,254 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 5, 2026).
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Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz
5 outcomes- Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.564 %
- Completed Match55 %
- Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner32 %
- Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 2.531 %
- Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz0 %
Total volume
$1.1K
24h vol.
$1.1K
1w vol.
$1.1K
1m vol.
$1.1K
Liquidity
$1.5K
Bid / Ask
29¢ / 35¢
Spread 6¢
Last trade
36¢
Start date
Oct 28, 2026
End date
Nov 5, 2026
ends in 7 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,254 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.8% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 26.0% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 16¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 100 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 44 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 52 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 356 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 32 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 48 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 13 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 509 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 79 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 24 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 101 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 499 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 209 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 14 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 209 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 76 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 26 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 209 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 86 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 102 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 209 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 122 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 522 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 14 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 16 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 1 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 99 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 423 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 22 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 122 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 28 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 24 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 61 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 87 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 87 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 17 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 3 |
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