← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 3 hr. ago
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 2.5
31 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 20 trades: 11 buys, 9 sells; the largest was $224 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 31% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (3,254 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 5, 2026).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz
5 outcomes- Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.564 %
- Completed Match55 %
- Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner32 %
- Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 2.531 %
- Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz0 %
Total volume
$251.828
24h vol.
$251.828
1w vol.
$251.828
1m vol.
$251.828
Liquidity
$225
Bid / Ask
18¢ / 43¢
Spread 25¢
Last trade
18¢
Start date
Oct 28, 2026
End date
Nov 5, 2026
ends in 7 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,254 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.8% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 26.0% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Failed to load orderbook: Upstream request failed (404) for https://clob.polymarket.com/book?token_id=18042253543149971670434968732723023843824581548447286554298376784440579823434
Recent trades (20)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 224 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 20 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 300 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 25 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 25 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 20 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 7 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 224 |
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs0 %▲ +0.0%
- Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev0 %▲ +0.0%
- Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun0 %▼ −65.5%
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner100 %▲ +28.4%
- Carolina vs Green Bay — Green Bay64 %▼ −1.0%
- Carolina vs Green Bay: Spread — Green Bay wins by over 3.5 points51 %▲ +0.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.