Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Market brief

• Up 6.8 pp over the past week (+5.7 pp in the last 24 hours), after dipping to 1% on Sep 16, 2026.
• Last 50 trades: 23 buys, 27 sells; the largest was $140 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 10% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (251 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 1 mo. (Nov 30, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 251 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.

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