Updated 36 min. ago
Market brief
- Down 9.5 pp over the past week (+3.0 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 50% on Nov 5, 2026.
- Last 11 trades: 5 buys, 6 sells; the largest was $29.5K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 51% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (13,441 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 15, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
4 outcomes- O/U 0.5 Rounds50 %
- O/U 1.5 Rounds41 %
- O/U 2.5 Rounds34 %
- Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan11 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$50.2K
24h vol.
$50.2K
Liquidity
$16.3K
End date
Nov 15, 2026
ends in 3 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
40¢ / 41¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
41¢
Start date
Oct 31, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (11)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 85 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 39 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 12 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 12 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 34 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 14 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 5 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 5 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 13 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 50,000 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 3 |
Rules & resolution
Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Luis Gurule and Bilal Hasan at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond November 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
- Event:
- UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
- Resolution source:
- https://www.ufc.com/events
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