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Updated 19 min. ago

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 15?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 15?

Crypto

44 %

chance

▼ −11.0%1h▼ −30.0%24h
Yes 44¢No 56¢
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Market brief

  • Down 30.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 88% on Nov 11, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 27 buys, 23 sells; the largest was $4.16K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 53% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (167 cases). The gap to their average price could still be chance.
  • Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 15, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

◆ Your call

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✦ AI assessment

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Bitcoin above ___ on November 15?

11 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$29.6K

24h vol.

$29.1K

Liquidity

$49.9K

End date

Nov 15, 2026

ends in 3 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$29.6K

Bid / Ask

43¢ / 45¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

46¢

Start date

Nov 8, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
45¢$7,100
44¢$5,000
43¢$346
42¢$5
41¢$5
40¢$5
39¢$5
38¢$5
22¢$60
21¢$1,734
Asks (sell)Size
47¢$5
48¢$870
49¢$5
50¢$45
51¢$7,105
52¢$275
60¢$4,540
66¢$20
68¢$20
69¢$5,105

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 92%Sells 8%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
23 min. agoSell44¢18
29 min. agoSell46¢5
29 min. agoBuy48¢10
35 min. agoSell50¢5
38 min. agoBuy57¢7,305
44 min. agoBuy51¢27
52 min. agoBuy52¢5,205
52 min. agoBuy52¢7,110
52 min. agoBuy51¢7,100
2 hr. agoSell60¢5
2 hr. agoBuy66¢200
6 hr. agoBuy75¢6
11 hr. agoSell79¢5
14 hr. agoSell80¢5
16 hr. agoSell78¢5
20 hr. agoBuy84¢2
20 hr. agoSell85¢2,000
21 hr. agoBuy86¢22
24 hr. agoSell79¢10
24 hr. agoBuy79¢13
1 day agoBuy76¢1
1 day agoBuy73¢5
1 day agoSell75¢5
1 day agoSell79¢5
1 day agoSell71¢5
2 days agoSell75¢5
2 days agoSell67¢27
2 days agoBuy65¢5
2 days agoBuy63¢5
2 days agoBuy62¢5
2 days agoBuy61¢38
2 days agoBuy63¢7
2 days agoBuy62¢7
2 days agoBuy62¢5
2 days agoBuy63¢2
2 days agoBuy61¢42
2 days agoBuy66¢2
2 days agoBuy65¢5
2 days agoBuy65¢2
2 days agoBuy64¢5
2 days agoSell73¢35
2 days agoSell74¢40
2 days agoSell74¢40
2 days agoSell74¢40
2 days agoSell74¢5
2 days agoSell82¢5
3 days agoSell83¢5
3 days agoSell81¢5
3 days agoSell81¢5
3 days agoBuy81¢97
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Event:
Bitcoin above ___ on November 15?
Resolution source:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

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