Updated 4 min. ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 9-15?
60 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 40.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 11% on Nov 11, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 27 buys, 23 sells; the largest was $1.71K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 53% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (167 cases). The gap to their average price could still be chance.
- Scheduled to end in 4 days (Nov 16, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?
14 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$50K
24h vol.
$31.8K
Liquidity
$52.3K
End date
Nov 16, 2026
ends in 4 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$50K
Bid / Ask
59¢ / 60¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
61¢
Start date
Nov 9, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 48 |
| 10 min. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 100 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 5 |
| 11 min. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 70 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 25 |
| 19 min. ago | Sell | 52¢ | 79 |
| 20 min. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 18 |
| 21 min. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 18 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 17 |
| 26 min. ago | Sell | 52¢ | 347 |
| 27 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 100 |
| 33 min. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 49 |
| 33 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 18 |
| 39 min. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 50 |
| 50 min. ago | Sell | 48¢ | 192 |
| 54 min. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 878 |
| 54 min. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 208 |
| 55 min. ago | Sell | 46¢ | 15 |
| 56 min. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 25 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 115 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 1,300 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 104 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 35 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 79 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 18 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 213 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 5,882 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 68 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
Rules & resolution
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
- Event:
- What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?
- Resolution source:
- https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
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