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Updated 4 min. ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 9-15?

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 9-15?

Crypto

60 %

chance

▲ +24.0%1h▲ +40.0%24h
Yes 60¢No 41¢

Market brief

  • Up 40.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 11% on Nov 11, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 27 buys, 23 sells; the largest was $1.71K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 53% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (167 cases). The gap to their average price could still be chance.
  • Scheduled to end in 4 days (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$50K

24h vol.

$31.8K

Liquidity

$52.3K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 4 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$50K

Bid / Ask

59¢ / 60¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

61¢

Start date

Nov 9, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
58¢$64
57¢$5,826
56¢$929
55¢$1,006
54¢$1,400
53¢$3,640
52¢$4,365
51¢$50
46¢$109
40¢$4,785
Asks (sell)Size
59¢$5
60¢$533
61¢$269
62¢$10,261
63¢$1,345
64¢$470
65¢$85
68¢$93
69¢$5,490
70¢$457

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 16%Sells 84%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
10 min. agoSell60¢48
10 min. agoSell61¢100
10 min. agoBuy61¢5
11 min. agoSell59¢70
15 min. agoSell59¢25
19 min. agoSell52¢79
20 min. agoSell53¢18
21 min. agoSell53¢18
23 min. agoBuy58¢17
26 min. agoSell52¢347
27 min. agoSell50¢100
33 min. agoSell49¢49
33 min. agoBuy51¢18
39 min. agoBuy41¢50
50 min. agoSell48¢192
54 min. agoSell43¢878
54 min. agoSell44¢208
55 min. agoSell46¢15
56 min. agoSell45¢25
59 min. agoBuy38¢115
1 hr. agoSell36¢5
1 hr. agoSell37¢5
1 hr. agoBuy34¢1,300
1 hr. agoSell33¢104
2 hr. agoSell30¢35
2 hr. agoBuy32¢79
2 hr. agoSell29¢18
2 hr. agoSell30¢213
2 hr. agoSell29¢5,882
2 hr. agoSell28¢68
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
2 hr. agoBuy30¢1
Rules & resolution

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Event:
What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?

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