Updated 3 days ago

Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)
20 %
Gen.G
Market brief
- Historically, 32% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (4,944 cases). That is more often than their average price of 26% implied — prices in this range have run low.
- Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 15, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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✦ AI assessment
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
14 outcomes- O/U 3.5 Games73 %
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?68 %
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?66 %
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?51 %
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?51 %
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?50 %
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?49 %
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)44 %
- Game 1 Winner43 %
- Game 3 Winner42 %
- Game 2 Winner42 %
- Match Winner38 %
- O/U 4.5 Games35 %
- Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)20 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$5.1K
24h vol.
$583.335
Liquidity
$153.9K
End date
Nov 15, 2026
ends in 3 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$5.1K
Bid / Ask
19¢ / 20¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
20¢
Start date
Nov 9, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (3)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Buy | 22¢ | 9 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 156 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 17¢ | 60 |
Rules & resolution
This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between Bilibili Gaming and Gen.G in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G wins 3 or more games than Bilibili Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
- Event:
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
- Resolution source:
- https://gol.gg/esports/home
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