Updated 43 min. ago

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Ugo Humbert
65 %
Lorenzo Musetti
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 33 buys, 17 sells; the largest was $19.7K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 49% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (10,776 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 19, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your probability for Lorenzo Musetti before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
Result by email
Find out how it ends
One email when this market resolves. No account needed.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$72.4K
24h vol.
$72.4K
Liquidity
$76.2K
End date
Nov 19, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
64¢ / 65¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
65¢
Start date
Nov 11, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 1,800 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 2 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 2 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 30,254 |
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 215 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 31 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 1,211 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 12,004 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 14 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 231 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 486 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 538 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 67 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 13 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 7 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 154 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 8 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 267 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 2 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 500 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 11 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 384 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 2 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 11 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 6 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 5,258 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 346 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 5 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 16 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 5 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 154 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 14 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 14 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 450 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 3 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 8 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 8 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 14 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 218 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 6 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 350 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 6 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 8,307 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 294 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 2 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 666 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 4 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 1,169 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 474 |
Rules & resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Ugo Humbert in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Ugo Humbert. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Lorenzo Musetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Event:
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Ugo Humbert
- Resolution source:
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Related markets
Open Sports markets from other events — closest to this one first.
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko69 %▲ +0.0%
- Sopo: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia76 %▲ +0.0%
- WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff27 %▲ +0.0%
- UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)37 %▲ +0.0%
- Tirante vs Shevchenko — Aleksandr Shevchenko25 %▲ +0.0%
- Italy vs France — France49 %▼ −2.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.