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Updated 3 wk. ago

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
38 %
chance
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$1.5M
24h vol.
$9.25
1w vol.
$2K
1m vol.
$86.7K
Liquidity
$30.5K
Bid / Ask
37¢ / 39¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
38¢
Start date
Dec 9, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 183 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 50.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.7%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 62 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 62 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 39 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 39 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 186 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 186 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 118 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 93 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 310 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 186 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 99 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 30 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 310 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 250 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 75 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 30 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 13 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 13 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 15 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 30 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 30 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 266 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 46 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 200 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 3 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 3 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 25 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 18 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 13 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 13 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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