First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET? odds
Live implied probabilities across 5 outcomes · $427.2K traded · updated 2 hr. ago
Resolves Dec 26, 2026
None by December 25, 2026 leads at 92 % · biggest 24h move: None by December 25, 2026 +1.0 pp
Market Guy's AI runs research on these markets daily — sign up to see where it disagrees.
See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET??
- None by December 25, 2026 is the current favourite at 92 %, ahead of 4 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
Related events
Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Nothing on Market Guy is financial advice — it is research tooling to help you think, not a signal to trade.