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Prediction market recap — Sep 13, 2026

The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.

This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.

Top moves

Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.

1When will Dabo Swinney leave Clemson? — Before Dec 1, 202643¢▲ +70.0%2Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week?9¢▼ −64.0%3Will Progreso be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?89¢▲ +64.0%4Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami MarlinsLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins0¢▼ −62.5%5New York Mets vs. New York YankeesNew York Mets vs. New York Yankees100¢▲ +61.5%6Will Sport Boys be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?17¢▼ −61.0%

Where AI disagrees with the market

The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.

Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Israel closes its airspace by September 30?+61 pp gapIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?-44 pp gapWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?-33 pp gapLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs-22 pp gap

Fresh AI research

Markets our AI analysed most recently.

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?30¢Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13¢Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND PlayoffsCounter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs52¢Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?65¢

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