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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Progreso be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
91 %
chance
Uruguayan Primera División: Teams relegated (2026)
10 outcomesTotal volume
$973.47
24h vol.
$221
1w vol.
$973.47
1m vol.
$973.47
Liquidity
$172.651
Bid / Ask
88¢ / 93¢
Spread 5¢
Last trade
87¢
Start date
Aug 26, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 364 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 85.4% resolved YES. That is 4.4 points less often than their average price of 89.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 8¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 22 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 59 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 91 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 91 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 33 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 33 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 78 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 58 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 165 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 105 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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