Skip to content

← Dashboard · Sports

Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Progreso be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?

Other
Log in for watchlist

91 %

chance

▲ +3.0%24h▲ +40.5%1W
Yes 91¢No 9¢

Total volume

$973.47

24h vol.

$221

1w vol.

$973.47

1m vol.

$973.47

Liquidity

$172.651

Bid / Ask

88¢ / 93¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

87¢

Start date

Aug 26, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 364 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 85.4% resolved YES. That is 4.4 points less often than their average price of 89.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 8¢
Bids (buy)Size
91¢$40
41¢$5
41¢$50
24¢$20
1¢$28
0¢$300
0¢$730
0¢$1,020
0¢$2,070
Asks (sell)Size
99¢$15
99¢$330
99¢$9
99¢$48
99¢$28
99¢$50
100¢$20
100¢$49
100¢$77
100¢$49

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy4¢22
4 wk. agoSell4¢1
4 wk. agoSell4¢21
1 mo. agoBuy97¢5
1 mo. agoBuy3¢5
1 mo. agoSell96¢8
1 mo. agoSell4¢8
1 mo. agoSell4¢30
1 mo. agoBuy4¢9
1 mo. agoBuy4¢21
1 mo. agoBuy89¢59
1 mo. agoSell89¢9
1 mo. agoBuy11¢50
1 mo. agoBuy13¢20
1 mo. agoSell13¢20
1 mo. agoBuy16¢19
1 mo. agoBuy84¢19
1 mo. agoSell87¢40
1 mo. agoSell13¢40
1 mo. agoSell88¢40
1 mo. agoBuy88¢9
1 mo. agoSell12¢31
1 mo. agoSell8¢10
1 mo. agoBuy8¢10
1 mo. agoSell8¢60
1 mo. agoBuy8¢10
1 mo. agoBuy8¢50
1 mo. agoBuy13¢60
1 mo. agoSell13¢60
1 mo. agoSell11¢91
1 mo. agoSell89¢91
1 mo. agoSell10¢33
1 mo. agoSell90¢33
1 mo. agoSell87¢20
1 mo. agoSell13¢20
1 mo. agoSell10¢20
1 mo. agoSell90¢20
1 mo. agoBuy92¢20
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoSell8¢18
1 mo. agoBuy8¢13
1 mo. agoBuy8¢5
1 mo. agoSell8¢16
1 mo. agoBuy8¢16
1 mo. agoSell45¢78
1 mo. agoBuy45¢20
1 mo. agoBuy45¢58
1 mo. agoBuy50¢165
1 mo. agoBuy50¢105
1 mo. agoBuy51¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.