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Updated 6 hr. ago

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
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8 %

chance

▼ −0.2%24h
Yes 8¢No 92¢

Presidential Election Winner 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$13M

24h vol.

$27.2K

1w vol.

$70.1K

1m vol.

$488.5K

Liquidity

$258.9K

Bid / Ask

8¢ / 8¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
8¢$4,410
7¢$4,071
7¢$220
7¢$1,000
7¢$440
7¢$500
6¢$815
6¢$1,010
6¢$2,000
6¢$10,150
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$2,075
8¢$50
8¢$5
8¢$55
8¢$410
9¢$270
9¢$89
9¢$4,291
9¢$7,259
9¢$920

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 52%Sells 48%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
8 hr. agoSell92¢6
8 hr. agoSell8¢6
8 hr. agoSell8¢104
8 hr. agoBuy8¢54
8 hr. agoBuy8¢50
16 hr. agoBuy93¢6
16 hr. agoBuy8¢6
16 hr. agoSell8¢15
16 hr. agoBuy8¢15
19 hr. agoSell8¢6
19 hr. agoBuy8¢6
20 hr. agoSell7¢220
20 hr. agoBuy7¢220
20 hr. agoBuy93¢492
20 hr. agoBuy7¢119
20 hr. agoBuy8¢373
20 hr. agoSell8¢5,039
20 hr. agoBuy8¢127
20 hr. agoBuy8¢920
20 hr. agoBuy8¢220
20 hr. agoBuy8¢500
20 hr. agoSell92¢100
20 hr. agoSell92¢44
20 hr. agoBuy8¢50
20 hr. agoBuy8¢196
20 hr. agoBuy8¢50
20 hr. agoBuy8¢492
20 hr. agoBuy8¢50
20 hr. agoBuy8¢50
20 hr. agoBuy8¢50
20 hr. agoSell92¢55
20 hr. agoBuy8¢305
20 hr. agoBuy8¢327
20 hr. agoBuy8¢300
20 hr. agoBuy8¢243
20 hr. agoBuy8¢311
20 hr. agoBuy8¢298
20 hr. agoBuy8¢249
20 hr. agoBuy8¢50
20 hr. agoBuy8¢51
21 hr. agoSell8¢29
21 hr. agoBuy8¢29
21 hr. agoSell8¢115
21 hr. agoSell92¢95
21 hr. agoBuy8¢20
21 hr. agoBuy9¢57
21 hr. agoSell9¢5
21 hr. agoBuy91¢32
21 hr. agoSell9¢20
23 hr. agoSell8¢71

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.