Daily recap
Prediction market recap — Sep 27, 2026
The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.
This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.
Top moves
Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.
1
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?100¢▲ +90.0%2Will Anna Bright qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?91¢▲ +83.5%3Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?99¢▲ +81.6%4Will Jorja Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?89¢▲ +81.5%5
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?86¢▲ +80.3%6Will Zemun be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?92¢▲ +80.0%
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?100¢▲ +90.0%2Will Anna Bright qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?91¢▲ +83.5%3Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?99¢▲ +81.6%4Will Jorja Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?89¢▲ +81.5%5Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?86¢▲ +80.3%6Will Zemun be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?92¢▲ +80.0%Where AI disagrees with the market
The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Market 87%AI 12%+75 pp gap
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?Market 1%AI 71%-70 pp gap
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Market 56%AI 12%+44 pp gapWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Market 7%AI 32%-25 pp gap
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?Market 1%AI 71%-70 pp gapUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Market 56%AI 12%+44 pp gapWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Market 7%AI 32%-25 pp gapFresh AI research
Markets our AI analysed most recently.
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