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Updated 7 hr. ago

14 %
chance
Total volume
$2M
24h vol.
$5.2K
1w vol.
$33.5K
1m vol.
$201.7K
Liquidity
$243.8K
Bid / Ask
13¢ / 14¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
14¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 3, 2026
ends in 3 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 days ago | Sell | 14¢ | 1,000 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1,000 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 50 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 50 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 2 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 2 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 2,095 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 784 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 200 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 500 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 600 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 11 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 220 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 39 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 50 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 131 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 24 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 24 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 7,558 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1,596 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 2,000 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 400 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 3,562 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 6 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 6 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 79 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 79 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 72 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 72 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 81 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 81 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 87 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 87 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 8 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 8 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 133 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 133 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 67 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 67 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 10 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 10 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 83 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 83 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 96 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 96 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 31 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.