Daily recap
Prediction market recap — Sep 29, 2026
The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.
This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.
Top moves
Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.
1Will Anna Bright qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?91¢▲ +83.5%2Will Jorja Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?89¢▲ +81.5%3Will Zemun be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?92¢▲ +80.0%4
Set Handicap: Aliona Falei (-1.5) vs Tyra Caterina Grant (+1.5)100¢▲ +79.1%5Will zekken play for MIBR in 2027?86¢▲ +77.5%6Will Anna Leigh Waters reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?82¢▲ +74.0%
Where AI disagrees with the market
The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Market 96%AI 12%+84 pp gap
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?Market 0%AI 71%-71 pp gapSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Market 20%AI 84%-64 pp gap
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Market 55%AI 12%+43 pp gap
Fresh AI research
Markets our AI analysed most recently.
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