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Updated 20 min. ago

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

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12 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +5.0%24h▼ −2.0%1W
Yes 12¢No 89¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

4 outcomes

Total volume

$5.3M

24h vol.

$110.2K

1w vol.

$837.1K

1m vol.

$3.9M

Liquidity

$101.8K

Bid / Ask

11¢ / 12¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

11¢

Start date

Jul 27, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
11¢$29,729
10¢$67,443
9¢$111,965
8¢$9,072
7¢$1,296
6¢$6,721
5¢$26,052
4¢$67,321
3¢$230,232
2¢$215,902
Asks (sell)Size
12¢$576
13¢$860
14¢$2,589
15¢$6,523
16¢$3,079
17¢$2,716
18¢$1,858
19¢$4,213
20¢$100
21¢$12

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 66%Sells 34%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
41 min. agoSell88¢0
41 min. agoBuy88¢0
41 min. agoBuy89¢10
41 min. agoSell89¢10
50 min. agoSell88¢14
50 min. agoBuy88¢14
50 min. agoSell11¢1,403
50 min. agoSell89¢1,403
57 min. agoSell88¢7
57 min. agoBuy88¢7
57 min. agoBuy89¢750
57 min. agoSell89¢750
1 hr. agoSell88¢14
1 hr. agoBuy88¢14
1 hr. agoSell88¢0
1 hr. agoBuy88¢0
1 hr. agoBuy89¢1
1 hr. agoSell89¢1
1 hr. agoBuy89¢4,494
1 hr. agoSell89¢1,360
1 hr. agoSell89¢345
1 hr. agoBuy11¢205
1 hr. agoBuy11¢2,584
1 hr. agoSell12¢196
1 hr. agoBuy12¢196
1 hr. agoSell11¢100
1 hr. agoBuy11¢100
2 hr. agoBuy88¢129
2 hr. agoBuy12¢15
2 hr. agoBuy12¢10
2 hr. agoBuy12¢10
2 hr. agoBuy12¢10
2 hr. agoBuy12¢10
2 hr. agoBuy12¢74
2 hr. agoBuy88¢319
2 hr. agoBuy12¢319
2 hr. agoBuy88¢107
2 hr. agoBuy12¢107
2 hr. agoBuy88¢800
2 hr. agoBuy12¢10
2 hr. agoBuy12¢50
2 hr. agoSell88¢50
2 hr. agoSell88¢18
2 hr. agoSell88¢672
2 hr. agoSell13¢8
2 hr. agoBuy13¢8
2 hr. agoBuy15¢1,354
2 hr. agoBuy85¢364
2 hr. agoBuy85¢10
2 hr. agoBuy85¢5

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