Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 12 min. ago

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Other
Log in for watchlist

13 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▲ +6.0%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 13¢No 88¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

4 outcomes

Total volume

$5.3M

24h vol.

$101.9K

1w vol.

$835.6K

1m vol.

$3.9M

Liquidity

$105.8K

Bid / Ask

12¢ / 13¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

13¢

Start date

Jul 27, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$4,528
11¢$54,238
10¢$133,243
9¢$5,590
8¢$6,164
7¢$1,291
6¢$6,721
5¢$26,058
4¢$67,321
3¢$230,232
Asks (sell)Size
13¢$245
14¢$7,489
15¢$4,730
16¢$4,166
17¢$2,716
18¢$2,111
19¢$4,211
20¢$105
21¢$12
22¢$30

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 73%Sells 27%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
19 min. agoBuy13¢38
19 min. agoBuy87¢38
29 min. agoBuy13¢138
29 min. agoBuy87¢138
39 min. agoBuy12¢10
39 min. agoSell12¢10
39 min. agoSell88¢0
39 min. agoSell12¢0
39 min. agoSell11¢2
39 min. agoSell89¢2
40 min. agoSell88¢0
40 min. agoSell12¢0
40 min. agoSell11¢1
40 min. agoSell89¢1
40 min. agoSell12¢9
40 min. agoBuy12¢9
40 min. agoSell12¢1
40 min. agoBuy12¢1
40 min. agoSell12¢0
40 min. agoBuy12¢0
40 min. agoSell12¢0
40 min. agoBuy12¢0
40 min. agoBuy13¢1,020
40 min. agoBuy87¢1
40 min. agoBuy87¢7
40 min. agoSell13¢10
40 min. agoSell13¢333
40 min. agoBuy87¢10
40 min. agoSell13¢200
40 min. agoBuy87¢200
40 min. agoBuy88¢10
40 min. agoBuy88¢249
40 min. agoSell12¢0
40 min. agoBuy12¢0
52 min. agoSell88¢0
52 min. agoBuy88¢0
52 min. agoSell11¢11
52 min. agoSell89¢11
52 min. agoSell88¢1
52 min. agoBuy88¢1
52 min. agoSell11¢52
52 min. agoSell89¢52
53 min. agoSell11¢1
53 min. agoSell89¢1
54 min. agoSell88¢0
54 min. agoBuy88¢0
54 min. agoSell11¢0
54 min. agoSell89¢0
54 min. agoSell11¢4
54 min. agoSell89¢4

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.