Crypto
Crypto assets
Most crypto markets are one question in disguise: how far does the price still have to travel, and how often has it travelled that far in the time left?
A market asking whether an asset reaches a level by a date is not a referendum on the technology. It is a question about distance and time. The required move, the asset's realized volatility and how often a move that size has happened historically bound the answer before any narrative enters the room.
Market Guy already computes that underlying context for Pro+ analyses — spot price, the move still required, the historical base rate, realized volatility and derivatives positioning. This domain explains what those numbers mean and where each one comes from.
Bitcoin
Supply is fixed by code and known to the block. Everything that moves the price therefore sits on the demand side - which is why a bitcoin market is usually a question about flows, not about technology.
Open entryEthereum
Ether has no supply cap, and it can still shrink. Issuance pays validators, the base fee burns coins, and which side wins in a given week depends on how busy the network is.
Open entrySolana
Solana is the chain where throughput is the product. That makes its price unusually sensitive to two things most assets do not have: a scheduled inflation taper and a visible unlock calendar.
Open entryXRP
XRP is the asset where the legal file matters as much as the ledger. Supply was created once, releases follow a published escrow schedule, and the biggest repricings of the last five years came from a courtroom.
Open entryStablecoins
A stablecoin is a promise that one token equals one dollar. The market price tells you what people think of the promise - which is why a depeg is a credit event, not a price move.
Open entryCrypto regulation
The largest crypto regulation contract on the board names a bill number. That makes it unusually tractable - and it turns the analysis into legislative arithmetic rather than an argument about crypto.
Open entryTreasury companies
Buying a company that holds bitcoin is not the same as buying bitcoin. What you are buying is a ratio - and in 2026 that ratio went below one.
Open entryBitcoin mining
Mining is the only industry with a thermostat written into its product. When margins collapse, the protocol makes it cheaper to compete - automatically, every two weeks, without anyone deciding.
Open entry
How these markets resolve
- A price feed at a named time, either a touch at any point or the value at a deadline — the wording decides, and the two are not the same question.
- An on-chain or protocol event: a fork, an unlock, a listing.
- A regulatory decision with a docket and a date, such as an ETF approval deadline.