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Market data as of 40 min. ago

Solana

SOL · Market cap rank 7

$105.05▲ +0.9%

Price history

Last three years · Low $18.40 · High $256.65▲ +380.0%

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Key figures

Market cap
$61.9B
Fully diluted
$66.8B
24h volume
$2.36B
Circulating supply
589,494,131 SOL
Total supply
636,090,670 SOL
Max supply
—
FDV to market cap
1.08×

Above 1 means supply is still being issued

Supply issued
—

Circulating share of the maximum

Listed since
Apr 10, 2020

Change

1h
▲ +0.6%
24h
▲ +0.9%
7d
▼ −5.2%
30d
▼ −6.0%

How this coin behaves

Measured from 1200 days of daily closes. These describe what the price has done, not what it will do.

30-day volatility
0.5 %

Standard deviation of daily moves, annualised

Typical day
1.4 %

Median daily move over 90 days

Days closing higher
48 %

Over the last 365 days

Best day
▲ +11.8%

Feb 6, 2026

Worst day
▼ −14.9%

Feb 5, 2026

Deepest drawdown
▼ −76.3%

Jan 18, 2025 to Jun 6, 2026

Below its high
▼ −60.0%

High of $261.99 on Jan 18, 2025

Correlation with BTC
0.84

Daily moves over 90 days, −1 to +1

Base rates and derivatives positioning

How often this coin has actually managed a move of a given size in 30 days, and how the perpetual market is positioned right now.

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Base rates turn a price target into a frequency: how often a move that size has happened before.

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What the asset actually is

SOL is the native token of a high-throughput settlement network built for many small transactions rather than few expensive ones. It pays fees, it is staked to secure the chain, and it is the unit in which validator rewards are denominated. The design choice that defines it is running a single fast chain instead of pushing activity to secondary layers.

That choice produces a distinctive fee market. Base fees are tiny by design, so ordinary usage generates little revenue; when demand spikes, users pay priority fees to get ahead in the queue, and those spikes are where the economics live. A network that is busy in transaction counts can still be modest in fee terms.

There is no supply cap. Issuance started high and declines on a schedule toward a long-run floor, with a portion of fees burned. The result is an asset whose dilution is knowable years ahead and whose demand side has to run fast enough to absorb it.

Throughput is cheap by design. That is the feature and, for anyone valuing the token on fees, the problem.

What it is used for

The largest visible use is trading infrastructure: decentralised exchanges, market-making, and the wave of token launches that made the network's reputation in both directions. High throughput and low fees make strategies viable that would be uneconomic elsewhere, which concentrates a particular kind of activity here.

Payments and consumer applications are the second cluster, helped by the same cost structure - stablecoin transfers, point-of-sale experiments and reward programmes where a fee of a fraction of a cent is the difference between viable and not.

Staking is the third. Holders delegate to validators and receive a share of issuance; because inflation is meaningful, not staking is an active decision to be diluted. That pushes the staked share of supply structurally higher than on chains with lower issuance.

Approximate share of transactions by activity type, 2025 estimates
Trading and market makingIncludes automated arbitrage between venues
46%
Token transfers and payments
24%
Staking operations
12%
Consumer applications
10%
Everything else
8%

Source: On-chain estimates

How supply is created and released

Two separate schedules govern the supply, and confusing them is the most common error in SOL analysis. The first is protocol inflation: new SOL is issued to stakers at a rate that started around eight percent a year and declines by roughly fifteen percent of itself annually toward a long-run floor near one and a half percent. That taper is written into the protocol and can be calculated years ahead.

The second is the unlock calendar. Large allocations from the network's early funding rounds and foundation grants vest over multi-year cliffs. When a cliff passes, tokens that could not be sold become tokens that can be, and the market usually knows the date months in advance without agreeing on how much of it is already priced.

The burn side is small. A portion of each transaction fee is destroyed, but because base fees are deliberately tiny, the burn rarely offsets issuance in any meaningful way. Unlike ether, this is a net-issuing asset in practice.

  • Inflation began near 8 percent annually and tapers about 15 percent of itself each year.
  • The long-run inflation floor is roughly 1.5 percent.
  • Unlock cliffs are published; the dates are knowable, the market impact is not.
  • Half of each base fee is burned, but base fees are small by design.
How new SOL reaches the market
  1. 1Protocol issuance

    Paid to stakers, tapering on a fixed schedule

  2. 2Validator commission

    Operators keep a percentage before passing rewards on

  3. 3Staked balance

    Rewards compound unless actively withdrawn

  4. 4Unlock cliff

    Vested allocations become transferable on a published date

    The event most likely to move the float

  5. 5Exchange float

    What can actually meet a bid

Behind the subscription

The rest of this entry is the part that changes a decision: what moves the price, which contract sets it, who ships it and where that can be cut off.

What moves the price

Six drivers, including the two that are specific to this asset: a published unlock calendar and a fee base that only appears under stress.

Where it trades and what settles a contract

Which venue actually sets the SOL price, why the on-chain and off-chain prints can diverge, and what a dated contract references.

Where the supply sits

Staked, locked, or free to sell - the three buckets that decide how much of a headline actually reaches the order book.

How this shows up in prediction markets

Threshold questions on a high-volatility asset, plus the unlock-date and outage questions that only exist for this chain.

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Create an account to unlock the full entry — price drivers, trading venues, trade flows and the live markets attached to it.

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About Solana

Solana (SOL) is a cryptocurrency launched in 2020. Solana has a current supply of 635,782,548.03413498 with 589,212,507.69553304 in circulation. The last known price of Solana is 104.19832344 USD and is down -3.05 over the last 24 hours. It is currently trading on 1183 active market(s) with $2,880,093,814.10 traded over the last 24 hours. More information can be found at https://solana.com.

Links

What the market implies for the Solana price

Every open market that names a Solana price level, ordered by how far that level is from today. The price is what traders currently pay for it. Measured against $105.05

Levels above the price

Solana price levels with the move still needed, the market price and the historical frequency
LevelMove neededMarket priceResolves
↑ $60.00on touchingAlready there37 %▼ −2.7%in 74 days
↑ $140.00on touching▲ +33.3%31 %▲ +4.0%in 74 days
↑ $140.00on touching▲ +33.3%4 %▲ +0.0%in 13 days
↑ $150.00on touching▲ +42.8%2 %▲ +0.0%in 13 days
↑ $160.00on touching▲ +52.3%14 %▲ +1.5%in 74 days
↑ $180.00on touching▲ +71.3%9 %▼ −0.4%in 74 days
↑ $200.00on touching▲ +90.4%6 %▲ +0.5%in 74 days
↑ $220.00on touching▲ +109.4%7 %▲ +2.0%in 74 days
↑ $240.00on touching▲ +128.5%4 %▼ −0.9%in 74 days
↑ $260.00on touching▲ +147.5%4 %▼ −0.2%in 74 days

Levels below the price

Solana price levels with the move still needed, the market price and the historical frequency
LevelMove neededMarket priceResolves
↓ $80.00on touching▼ −23.8%4 %▼ −1.7%in 13 days
↓ $70.00on touching▼ −33.4%18 %▲ +2.5%in 74 days
↓ $70.00on touching▼ −33.4%2 %▲ +0.4%in 13 days
↓ $60.00on touching▼ −42.9%8 %▲ +0.0%in 74 days
↓ $60.00on touching▼ −42.9%1 %▼ −0.2%in 13 days
↓ $50.00on touching▼ −52.4%5 %▲ +0.0%in 74 days
↓ $40.00on touching▼ −61.9%3 %▲ +0.0%in 74 days
↓ $20.00on touching▼ −81.0%1 %▲ +0.0%in 74 days

A historical frequency, not a probability. It counts how often the move happened in the last three years of daily closes; a change in regime breaks it. Market prices are live and move. One more open market on this coin does not name a price level.

Historical frequency, other venues, options

How often this coin has actually covered each of these distances in a window of that length, what Kalshi charges for the same question, and for bitcoin and ether what the options market implies.

Included with Pro+

The market price says what traders charge. The base rate says how often it has happened. Seeing both in one row is the whole point.

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Other open markets on this coin

Open prediction markets whose question turns on Solana. Prices update with the rest of the site.

AI scan

What is moving the Solana price right now — researched with sources, not a price target.

Every scan uses one of your research credits.

Common questions

Why does Solana have inflation when bitcoin has a cap?

Because it pays for security with newly issued tokens rather than only with fees. The rate started near eight percent and tapers by about fifteen percent of itself each year toward a floor near one and a half percent. Stakers receive the issuance; holders who do not stake are diluted by it.

Do token unlocks always push the price down?

Not reliably. The dates are public, so the market has time to position, and a common pattern is weakness ahead of the cliff followed by relief on the day. What is true is that a cliff permanently increases the sellable float, which matters more over months than over hours.

How much of the supply is staked?

A high share, typically around two thirds, because inflation makes holding unstaked tokens costly. Unstaking is not instant - it takes an epoch, measured in days - which slows fast selling without preventing it.

Do network outages still matter for the price?

They reprice the reliability discount whenever they happen. The engineering record has improved substantially, but for a market question the relevant point is that this asset carries an operational tail risk the largest chains do not, and questions about downtime need a precise definition to be tradeable at all.

How volatile is Solana?

Over the last 30 days, Solana has an annualised volatility of 0.5 %. The median daily move across the last 90 days is 1.4 %. Both describe what the price has done, not what it will do.

What is the biggest drawdown Solana has had?

Across the daily closes on file, the deepest peak-to-trough fall is 76 %, from 2025-01-18 to 2026-06-06. The highest close in that window is $261.99 on 2025-01-18.

Other coins in Layer 1 blockchains

Each of these has its own page with the same figures and history.

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