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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
2 %
chance
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
3 outcomes- December 31, 202746 %
- June 30, 202746 %
- December 31, 20262 %
Total volume
$1.1M
24h vol.
$498.5
1w vol.
$4.8K
1m vol.
$9K
Liquidity
$51.7K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 3¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Jan 7, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 41 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 14 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 22 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 71 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 60 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 15,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 13,995 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 6,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 5,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 3,809 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 1,191 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 909 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 51 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 35 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 22 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 22 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 17,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 16,956 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 29 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 8,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 4,584 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 286 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 1,950 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 610 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 54 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 55 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 120 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 190 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 96 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 30 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 305 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 51 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 54 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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