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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
18 %
chance
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
46 outcomes- Lindsay Clancy23 %
- Erling Haaland18 %
- Bad Bunny10 %
- Donald Trump5 %
- Alysa Liu5 %
- Nicolás Maduro4 %
- Jude Bellingham3 %
- Lionel Messi3 %
- Benjamin Netanyahu3 %
- Patrick Mahomes2 %
- Neymar2 %
- Sabrina Carpenter2 %
- Cristiano Ronaldo2 %
- Taylor Swift2 %
- Shohei Ohtani2 %
- Kylian Mbappé1 %
- Matt Damon1 %
- Christian Pulisic1 %
- Robert Downey Jr.1 %
- LeBron James1 %
- Luka Dončić1 %
- Scarlett Johansson1 %
- Ja Morant1 %
- Lamine Yamal1 %
- Kanye West1 %
- Sydney Sweeney1 %
- Travis Kelce1 %
- Jacob Elordi1 %
- Ariana Grande1 %
- Vladimir Putin1 %
- Elon Musk1 %
- Zendaya1 %
- Chappell Roan1 %
- Stefon Diggs1 %
- Josh Allen0 %
- Timothée Chalamet0 %
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy0 %
- Anthony Edwards0 %
- Joe Burrow0 %
- Caitlin Clark0 %
- Angel Reese0 %
- Billie Eilish0 %
- Pedro Pascal0 %
- Jake Paul0 %
- Scottie Scheffler0 %
- JD Vance0 %
Total volume
$98.9K
24h vol.
$1.4K
1w vol.
$3K
1m vol.
$10.6K
Liquidity
$43.3K
Bid / Ask
17¢ / 18¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
18¢
Start date
Jul 17, 2026
End date
Apr 1, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 69 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 69 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 95 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 95 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 439 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 95 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 84 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 108 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 152 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 38 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 38 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 526 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 89 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 59 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 378 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 320 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 126 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 52 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 52 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 37 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 37 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 9 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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